Polls for 2016 presidential election: GOP Republican California primary may be make or break for Cruz
GOP primary in California is still far away. It is still more than two months away. Nonetheless almost everyone seems to be talking about the GOP primary election in California due to the huge size of delegates on offer.
Whoever wins the California primary election is going to get a big boost in the nomination war in the Republican Party.
While Donald Trump remains the front runner of the Republican Party, Ted Cruz is giving him tough fight. A few good performances in the primary elections and he is sure to catch up with billionaire businessman who is finding it difficult to get the backing of Republican leaders.
In the meantime Marco Rubio who suspended his campaign after losing in Florida primary, his home state, has decided to keep his delegates with him and not release the delegates. This is unprecedented, but shows that he is determined to stop Donald Trump from bagging many of his delegates who might have gone with him.
California primary is all set to be held on June 7. With 172, the state has the biggest cache of delegates. California uses a hybrid system to distribute the delegates among candidates making the margin of victory very important in the California race. Trump has the lead in the delegate count with 752 delegates compared to Ted Cruz’s 463 delegates.
There is no denying the fact that if Ted Cruz performs well in this state, he will reduce the gap with Trump in delegate counts. There are reasons to believe he is going to do well in the state. The most recent poll conducted by the Los Angeles Times shows Trump with just a 1 percentage point lead on Cruz.
This is amazing that how fast Ted Cruz has cut the difference in vote share. It may be more to do with Marco Rubio and other candidates dropping from the race. A polls conducted by the Los Angeles Times between March 16-23 shows Donald Trump expected to get 36 percent votes compared to Ted Cruz’s 35 percent and 14 percent for John Kasich.
On the other hand the PPIC poll that was conducted between March 6-15 showed Donald Trump heading with 38 percent votes compared to 27 percent for Ted Cruz and 14 percent for John Kasic.
Another poll conducted between March 9-10 by Landslide/NSON showed Donald Trump with 38 percent support followed by 22 percent for Ted Cruz and 20 percent for John Kasich.