Iowa Caucus 2016: All you need to know about Iowa polls, Donald Trump vs Ted Cruz
Republican candidates seem to be locked in a tough fight as far as Iowa caucus is concerned. Ted Cruz who looked like galloping ahead seems to have seen a slight dip in his popularity in the course of the last few days.
On the other hand the Republican front runner Donald Trump seems to have seen his fortune surging during the same period. Latest polls suggest that the real estate czar has surged past Ted Cruz in Iowa. But it is still very tough and close for the two Republican leaders as Donald Trumpâ€™s lead over Ted Cruz is very slight indeed.
To be true, Iowan Republican supporters remain deeply divided when it comes to GOP presidential hopefuls. Latest polls suggest while Donald Trump enjoys the support of around 28 percent of likely caucus-goers, Cruz enjoys slightly more than 23 percent support and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio 13 percent and Ben Carson still enjoys the backing of around 10 percent Republican.
Many observers believe that Donald Trumpâ€™s decision to abstain from Republican debate in Iowa seem to have gone in his favour.
The latest poll was conducted by a well-known pollster Ann Selzer. The voters are going to decide the state’s 1,681 precincts for Monday night’s caucuses. The Iowa poll is widely viewed as a “gold standard” in the industry because of its record of accurately predicting past contests. Selzer forsaw Barack Obama’s victory over Hillary Clinton in the 2008 caucuses, and she pegged Rick Santorum’s late surge over Mitt Romney in 2012.
The slide in Ted Cruzâ€™s fortune may be caused by his rather ineffective show during the last Republican debate in which he looked rather worn out and Rubio made him look rather very week-kneed. Till the end of December Cruz was leading Trump by 10 points in the same poll. Trump’s supporters are also the most set in their choice, with 71 percent saying their mind is made up to support him on Monday. That’s compared to 61 percent for Cruz and 47 percent for Rubio.