BY | July 2, 2013

Immigration reform 2013 has almost divided the whole nation. Latest news suggest that Republicans may pass the bill with changes at the end of this whole cacophony

Some form of immigration reform will pass through the US Congress, sooner or later, because as Jonathan Bernstein, a political scientist pointed out in his blog, “Speaker Boehner and most Republicans really want a bill to pass”. The current pace suggests it would be sooner rather than later, though House Republicans warned that they would do the bill in their own time and would not follow the timeline set by the Gang of Eight, or President Obama, who has urged that the House pass the bill before the August recess.

“We are going to work our will like we have been doing for the past weeks,” Republican House member Trey Gowdy said in an interview to Fox news.

Prominent Republicans, like the Gang of Eight member John McCain and former Governor of Florida, Jeb Bush have separately urged House Republicans to move quickly on the immigration reform bill. “…An immigration bill will need a far greater share of Republican House members than the Senate version received (where fewer than one-third of Republicans voted “aye”). This is a tall order. But it is one to which House Republicans should respond.” Bush wrote in an op-ed on the Wall Street Journal.

Given all this, it seems fairly certain that an immigration reform bill will pass the House, what is uncertain is what form it will take. The Republicans in the Congress have already made known their unhappiness with the bill that passed the Senate, in particular with the clause that provides a path to citizenship for those who immigrated illegally but have since been living peaceful lives and contributing to the economy.

The Washington Post’s Ezra Klien and Evan Soltas flagged the issue in a blog post. “House Republicans aren’t the same thing as “the Republican Party.” And they probably don’t need to pass immigration reform to keep their majority. In fact, passing immigration reform — at least with a path to citizenship — might put them in more danger,” they wrote yesterday pointing out that most of the Republicans in the House today do not have large immigrant populations in their districts and only 28 of them face democratic challengers. Which means that the incentive to do a reform bill which grants a path to citizenship is probably not going to pass the house. The version that the House passes will likely reflect Republican priorities.

House Judiciary Committee member Bob Goodlatte said that while they would like to do a bi-partisan bill, the House bill needs to reflect the fact that the Congress in controlled by the Republicans.

“We would love to have a bipartisan group produce a bill…but 70 percent of the Republicans in the Senate voted against the immigration bill. Republicans are in the majority in the House,” he said on CNN’s “State of the Union” show.

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